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OSW Commentary | | Piotr Żochowski
The political crisis which has been raging in Belarus since August 2020 and the growing public discontent with the regime have become the greatest challenge to the current government in recent history. Lukashenka has not considered the…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 7 December, Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) announced that Russia is strengthening its support for the armed forces of the so-called separatists. In the 1st and 2nd Army Corps (based in Donetsk and Luhansk respectively), training…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
Since the beginning of the rise in tension on the Polish-Belarusian border and the escalation of the migration crisis, Moscow has taken a position that unequivocally justifies the actions taken by Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s regime. On 1…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
Despite worsening weather conditions the regime in Belarus continues to gather migrants on its territory. After Iraq suspended direct flights to Belarus in August the migration routes have changed. There are regular flight connections from…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
The presidents of Russia and Belarus, Vladimir Putin and Alyaksandr Lukashenka met for the fifth time this year in Moscow on 9 September. They discussed the implementation of the schedule for the integration of Belarus and Russia as part…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 15 July, by a majority of 291 votes, Ukraine's Verkhovna Rada dismissed Interior Minister Arsen Avakov from his post, acceding to a motion he had submitted two days earlier. His successor will be Denys Monastyrsky, chairman of the…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 25 June, another package of EU sanctions against Belarus, related to the Minsk regime’s serious violations of human rights, came into force. In contrast to the previous restrictions, including those of 21 June concerning persons and…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 21 June, the Council of the European Union extended the list of sanctions against Belarus for the fourth time since last year’s rigged presidential elections. The immediate impulse for this latest move was the regime forcing a Ryanair…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 23 May, the Belarusian government forced a Ryanair plane flying from Athens to Vilnius to land in Minsk, escorted by a MiG-29 fighter, under the pretence that there was a bomb on board. The local security authorities then arrested two…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski
On 9 May Alyaksandr Lukashenka signed a decree on the ‘defence of sovereignty and the constitutional system’ which lays out the principles of the transfer of presidential competences in case of the president’s death following an…