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Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Łukasz Maślanka, Marek Matusiak, Witold Rodkiewicz

Trumps Board of Peace an alternative to the UN

On 22 January in Davos, representatives of 20 states signed the Charter of the Board of Peace established by Donald Trump (see Appendix). The concept of the board first appeared in a 20-point peace plan for Gaza presented by the United…
OSW Commentary | | Andrzej Kohut

The Trump administration and the Russia-Ukraine war in search of an agreement with Moscow

Recent weeks have been dominated by negotiations involving the United States, Ukraine, and Europe aimed at ending the Russia-Ukraine war, including efforts to draft post-conflict security guarantees for Ukraine and debates surrounding the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Jacek Tarociński

US defence budget for 2026 Congress approves continued support for Ukraine and a military presence in Europe

On 18 December, President Donald Trump signed into law the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for the 2026 fiscal year, after it received bipartisan support in Congress, passing the House of Representatives by 312 votes to 112 and…
Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Andrzej Kohut

Eased sanctions for the release of 123 prisoners as US–Belarus relations continue to thaw

Following talks with Alyaksandr Lukashenka in Minsk on 12–13 December, the US President’s Special Envoy for Belarus, John Coale, announced the lifting of the embargo on Belarusian potash fertilisers, originally imposed in 2021. In return,…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Andrzej Kohut

Russia calmly reacts to Trumps ultimatum on the Ukraine war

On 14 July, during a press conference with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, US President Donald Trump announced a new mechanism to support Ukraine.
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Kacper Sienicki, Andrzej Wilk

America First US halts arms deliveries to Ukraine

On 1 July, Politico reported that the Pentagon had halted some deliveries of US weapons to Ukraine. The following day, a Pentagon spokesperson confirmed the report. According to Ukrainian sources, the decision affects all categories of…
Analyses | | Andrzej Kohut, Krzysztof Nieczypor

The US suspends foreign aid consequences for Ukraine

On 24 January, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio suspended foreign aid – including military, humanitarian, and economic assistance – administered by the Department of State and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID…
OSW Commentary | | Andrzej Kohut

The architects of America First and the potential consequences of a Trump victory for European security

The prospect of Donald Trump’s potential victory in the US presidential election raises questions regarding the consequences of his possible presidency for European security. During the election campaign, he repeatedly announced his…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Kohut

Zelensky visits the US a diplomatic failure rather than a victory plan

From 22 to 27 September, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky visited the United States, where he addressed the UN General Assembly in New York, met with US President Joe Biden and the two presidential candidates, Kamala Harris, and…