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Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Ukrainian attacks on Tuapse a threat to Russias fuel sector and the environment

Since mid-April 2026, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked Russian energy infrastructure facilities in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, on at least four occasions: 16, 20 and 28 April, and 1 May. These drone strikes triggered prolonged fires…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik

20th sanctions package the EU signals it will stay the course despite the energy crisis

On 23 April, the Council of the European Union adopted its 20th package of sanctions against Russia. The measures tighten restrictions on Russian oil and LNG exports, including those targeting the operation of the so-called ‘shadow fleet…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Ukrainian attacks on Russias oil export infrastructure

In March, Ukraine intensified its attacks on Russia’s oil and fuel infrastructure, primarily targeting facilities involved in the export of crude oil and petroleum products. Drones struck oil terminals in the Baltic ports of Primorsk and…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Final verdict in the Yukos case a triumph for former shareholders

On 17 October, the Supreme Court of the Kingdom of the Netherlands upheld the 2014 arbitration ruling in the ‘Yukos case’, definitively ordering the Russian Federation to pay compensation to the former shareholders of the now-defunct…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska, Filip Rudnik

Trumps first sanctions the EUs 19th sanctions package the West increases the pressure on Russia

On 22 October, Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil – Russia’s two largest oil companies. The restrictions also covered their subsidiaries, amounting to a total of 34 entities. On 23 October, the European Union also…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Russia the governments ineffectiveness in the face of Ukrainian attacks on refineries

On 30 September, the Russian government decided to extend restrictions on fuel exports. Until the end of 2025, Russian entities will be completely forbidden from exporting petrol and there will be a partial limitation on the sale of other…
Analyses | | Michał Bogusz, Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Summit and parade Russia continues to support Chinas ambitions

From 31 August to 3 September, Vladimir Putin visited the People’s Republic of China, where he took part in a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) in Tianjin. He then travelled to Beijing for a military parade marking the…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Russia record petrol prices following wave of Ukrainian drone strikes

On 21 August, wholesale prices for two types of petrol in Russia – 92- and 95-octane – reached record highs of 73,100 and 81,400 roubles per tonne, respectively.
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Signs of rising tensions within the Russian elite

In recent months there have been signs of growing tensions within the Russian elite. The latest manifestation of this was seen in a dispute between members of the government’s so-called economic bloc during the St. Petersburg International…
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik

Russia continues to export uranium to the United States

The United States continues to import low-enriched uranium from Russia, which is a key feedstock for producing nuclear reactor fuel. This trade takes place despite mutual restrictions: a US import embargo (in force since May 2024) and a…