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Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia border closure with Belarus emerges as an election campaign issue

On 4 August, Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs (the centre-right United List) overturned a decision taken by Interior Minister Jānis Dombrava (the nationalist National Alliance) on 31 July reopening the Pāternieki crossing on the…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Latvia significant increase in migratory pressure from Belarus

On 13 July, Lithuania’s Minister of the Interior, Martynas Katelynas, proposed the introduction of temporary controls at the border with Latvia in response to a significant increase in the number of migrants entering Lithuania from Belarus…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Estonia assessments of the Russian threat cause friction between Tallinn and Kyiv

On 20 April, the Estonian government criticised Ukraine’s information policy, including public speculation about a possible Russian attack on the Baltic states. This followed a suggestion by President Volodymyr Zelensky that Russia was…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Bartosz Chmielewski, Jacek Tarociński

The Baltic states respond to incidents involving Ukrainian drones

On 23 March, a Ukrainian drone crashed near Lake Lavysas in the Varėna district of Lithuania. It likely veered off course during an attack by unmanned aerial vehicles on the Russian oil terminal in Primorsk, as a result of Russian…
Analyses | | Piotr Żochowski, Joanna Hyndle-Hussein, Bartosz Chmielewski

The Baltic states reaction to Lukashenkas threats

The meeting of the Security Council of the Republic of Belarus held on 31 August 2023 was devoted to the “tense international situation”, and included an assessment of threats present on the border with Poland and the Baltic states.…