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Analyses | | Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk

Consequences of the incident in the Sea of Azov

Before midnight on 25 November, President Petro Poroshenko issued a decree at the request of the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine to introduce martial law for a period of 60 days, while announcing that a general…
Analyses | | Justyna Gotkowska, Andrzej Wilk

The US intends to quit the INF treaty

On 20 October, US President Donald Trump announced the US’s intention to withdraw from the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty on the elimination of ground-launch ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of from 500 km to…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk

Escalation of tension in the Donbas

The most intense armed clashes between separatists and Ukrainian government forces since the beginning of this year have taken place in Avdiyivka.
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Maria Domańska, Wojciech Konończuk, Wojciech Górecki

The deteriorating military situation in the Donbas

It may be assumed that Russia intends to use the present escalation of exchanges of fire to put more pressure on Kyiv, and mainly on the West.
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Tadeusz A Olszański, Wojciech Górecki

The Minsk agreement one year of shadow boxing

The conflict is likely to remain in its present, not fully frozen state, with all the negative consequences that entails for the Donbass, the rest of Ukraine, and Russia.
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk

Russia shows off its new weapons

The new construction solutions above all allow Russia to close the gap on the West’s technological level.
Analyses | | Tadeusz A Olszański, Andrzej Wilk, Jan Strzelecki

Kyiv refuses to make concessions to the separatist republics

Kyiv is ready for a long-term ‘freezing’ of the conflict under international control.
Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz, Andrzej Wilk

Cyprus closer to Russia

Moscow is seeking to demonstrate that opponents of the policy of sanctions within the EU can count on economic and political benefits.
Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz, Rafał Sadowski, Andrzej Wilk

Hybrid truce in the Donbas

The formal coming into force of a ceasefire, in accordance with the Minsk agreements, has not stopped the fighting in the east of Ukraine.
Analyses | | Witold Rodkiewicz, Andrzej Wilk, Wojciech Konończuk, Kamil Frymark

The Donbas conflict after the Mariupol shelling

Armed activity in the Donbas has resumed along the entire length of the front line in recent days.