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Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
On 22 April, the so-called active phase of the combat readiness test of the Southern and Western Military Districts (MDs) being held at military training grounds in Crimea and the surrounding waters reached its final stage. A total of 10,…
Analyses |
| Marek Menkiszak, Andrzej Wilk
Since the end of March, the government in Kyiv has been warning that Russia is transferring additional armed forces to the Ukrainian border, which, as it says, may mean Russia is making preparations for a new phase of military operations.…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
During the last days of March, representatives of Ukraine’s government (including President Zelensky) and army announced that Russia was preparing a wide-ranging armed provocation against Ukraine. According to the Commander-in-Chief of the…
Analyses |
| Witold Rodkiewicz, Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 1 December, Russia signed an agreement with Sudan allowing it to create a repair and resupply naval facility in Port Sudan. It will have a full-time staff of no more than 300 and will be able to accommodate up to four Russian Navy…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
President Vladimir Putin’s decree of 2 June, entitled ‘On the foundations of the state policy of the Russian Federation in the field of nuclear deterrence’ has been described as a document on defence planning at the strategic level. It…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
On 24 November, a group of ships of the Ukrainian Navy, composed of two armoured artillery boats, the Berdyansk and the Nikopol (newly-constructed Giurza M-type units, which have been in service since 2016 and 2018 respectively) and the…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Jan Strzelecki, Wojciech Konończuk
Before midnight on 25 November, President Petro Poroshenko issued a decree at the request of the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine to introduce martial law for a period of 60 days, while announcing that a general…
Analyses |
| Justyna Gotkowska, Andrzej Wilk
On 20 October, US President Donald Trump announced the US’s intention to withdraw from the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty on the elimination of ground-launch ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of from 500 km to…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
The most intense armed clashes between separatists and Ukrainian government forces since the beginning of this year have taken place in Avdiyivka.
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Maria Domańska, Wojciech Konończuk, Wojciech Górecki
It may be assumed that Russia intends to use the present escalation of exchanges of fire to put more pressure on Kyiv, and mainly on the West.