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Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Krzysztof Nieczypor
At the beginning of the operation’s fourth day, reconnaissance units from the Russian group operating in north-eastern Ukraine approached the borders of Kyiv for the first time. The city is encircled on the west, north and east sides. The…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On 25 February, the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky signed a decree entitled ‘On universal mobilisation’, which will cover males aged 18 to 55, to be carried out within 90 days. This is due to the country’s deteriorating military…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Maria Domańska
On the night of 23/24 February, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered a message to the nation, during which he announced the beginning of a special military operation aimed at defending the people of Donbas against ‘genocide’, and at…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
During a meeting with President Vladimir Putin on 14 February, Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu announced that some of the large-scale exercises of the Russian Armed Forces had ended, while others were close to completion. The next day, the…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
In mid-January, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (RF)’s extremely intensive training activity, which has been observed for several weeks, was expanded to include new elements. Preparations have begun for a series of extraordinary…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
On 22 April, the so-called active phase of the combat readiness test of the Southern and Western Military Districts (MDs) being held at military training grounds in Crimea and the surrounding waters reached its final stage. A total of 10,…
Analyses |
| Marek Menkiszak, Andrzej Wilk
Since the end of March, the government in Kyiv has been warning that Russia is transferring additional armed forces to the Ukrainian border, which, as it says, may mean Russia is making preparations for a new phase of military operations.…
Analyses |
| Krzysztof Nieczypor, Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
During the last days of March, representatives of Ukraine’s government (including President Zelensky) and army announced that Russia was preparing a wide-ranging armed provocation against Ukraine. According to the Commander-in-Chief of the…
OSW Report |
| Andrzej Wilk
In the 2010s, Minsk lost the remnants of its independent defence capabilities and completely ceded the initiative to Moscow in this regard, remaining content with the appearance of sovereignty. The process of Belarusian-Russian military…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
On 24 November, a group of ships of the Ukrainian Navy, composed of two armoured artillery boats, the Berdyansk and the Nikopol (newly-constructed Giurza M-type units, which have been in service since 2016 and 2018 respectively) and the…