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OSW Commentary |
| Kamil Kłysiński
The lack of freedom of manoeuvre in foreign policy, no possibility to maintain a costly economic model and the lack of support from the majority of society all prove that Alexander Lukashenko's regime is in severe crisis.
Analyses |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
This document is intended to replace more than 100 bilateral agreements which currently govern free trade between these countries. The free trade area can only come into force when all the signatory states ratify it.
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
Only the Belarusian opposition was present at the summit. The EU member states unanimously adopted a declaration in which they reiterated their conditions for returning to dialogue with Minsk. Meanwhile a draft EU aid package for Belarus…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
The Belarusian government is still not ready to undertake root-and-branch reform of the system, and is restricting itself to taking ad hoc measures. In addition, record inflation and a drop in real wages pose a risk of social discontent…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk
Between 16-22 September, the biggest joint military exercises by the Russian and Belarusian armies this year were held on testing grounds in the European part of the Russian Federation, under the codename Union Shield 2011. 12,000 soldiers…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
Via the Bulgarian Foreign Ministry, the regime has spent the last few weeks probing the options for improving relations between Minsk and Brussels. Both the Belarusian opposition and the EU’s diplomats have made their positions dependent…
Analyses |
On 4 August, a leading Belarusian human rights activist, Ales Byalatski, was arrested on suspicion of concealing income. The Belarusian tax authorities based their allegations on data from an account in a Lithuanian bank belonging to…
Analyses |
| Kamil Kłysiński
The Belarusian public’s growing dissatisfaction with the economic situation could lead to wider social protests this autumn. This may open up room for manoeuvre for the Belarusian nomenklatura and for external actors, mainly Russia.
Analyses |
On 22 June, many Belarusian towns once again saw public demonstrations organised through social networking websites. These protests have been cyclical in nature, and are gathering more and more participants. The growing popularity of these…
Analyses |
On 11 June, the Belarusian government decided to impose additional duties on exports by individuals from Belarus of a range of goods, including fuel. This is not the first attempt the Belarusian government has made recently to impose an…