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Analyses | | Marek Menkiszak, Katarzyna Chawryło

Weaken divide and deter the aims of Russias provocation against Poland

On the night of 9–10 September, several Russian drones entering from Ukrainian and Belarusian airspace violated Polish airspace.
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Iskander damages Ukrainian government building Day 1294 of the war

Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

A moderate demonstration of power – Russian-Belarusian exercise Zapad-2025

The so-called active phase of the Russian-Belarusian Zapad-2025 exercise will take place from 12 to 16 September. According to Lithuanian intelligence, 30,000 troops from both countries are expected to take part, including 8,000 stationed…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Całus

On the eve of a parliamentary election in Moldova a European future in the shadow of uncertain results

On 28 September, a parliamentary election will be held in Moldova, in which the pro-Western Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) will struggle to retain power. However, polls indicate that although it still enjoys the greatest support…
Analyses | | Michał Bogusz, Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Summit and parade Russia continues to support Chinas ambitions

From 31 August to 3 September, Vladimir Putin visited the People’s Republic of China, where he took part in a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) in Tianjin. He then travelled to Beijing for a military parade marking the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Another massive Russian air strike on Kyiv Day 1287 of the war

Analyses | | Kamil Kłysiński, Piotr Żochowski

Minsk steps up contacts with Libya Pakistan and Iran

2025 has seen a marked intensification of contacts between the Belarusian regime and eastern Libya, Pakistan, and Iran. In February, Libyan leader Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar visited Minsk, and over the following months relations deepened…
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Kamil Frymark

German soldiers on a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine a test of public support

Following a meeting of European leaders with Presidents Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump in Washington (see ‘Washington summit: a tactical success for Ukraine’), Friedrich Merz declared Germany’s readiness to participate in
Analyses | | OSW team

Pressure on Russia pressure on Hungary Ukrainian strikes on the Druzhba oil pipeline

On 22 August, Ukrainian drones struck the Unecha distribution station in Bryansk Oblast for the third time in a month, halting the flow of Russian oil via the Druzhba pipeline to Hungary and Slovakia. That same day, Budapest and Bratislava…