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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

The Russians are surrounding Siversk Day 1315 of the war

Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

Lithuania new Social Democrat government

On 25 September, the Lithuanian parliament (Seimas) swore in the government led by Social Democrat Inga Ruginienė and approved its agenda. The new cabinet is supported by a coalition of three parliamentary groups: the Social Democratic…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

President of Ukraine announces the creation of Assault Forces Day 1308 of the war

Analyses | | Piotr Szymański, Bartosz Chmielewski, Marek Menkiszak

Russian fighter jets in Estonian airspace a test of NATOs unity

On 19 September, three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets violated Estonian airspace above its territorial waters in the Gulf of Finland, remaining there for 12 minutes at a depth up to 10 kilometres. The aircraft were detected, intercepted, and…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński, Andrzej Kohut, Piotr Szymański

Consequences of the discontinuation of the Baltic Security Initiative by the Trump administration

On 5 September, citing an anonymous White House source, the Financial Times reported that the Trump administration’s budget proposal for fiscal year 2026 (1 October 2025 – 30 September 2026) does not envisage continued funding for the…
Analyses | | Bartosz Chmielewski

Estonia Michals new centre-right government

On 25 March, the Estonian parliament passed a vote of confidence in Kristen Michal’s new government. The previous cabinet, comprising representatives from the Reform Party, Estonia 200, and the Social Democratic Party, had been in place…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski

Announcements of new Western military support for Ukraine Day 1098 of the war

Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

Centre-left government forms government in Lithuania

On 12 December, Lithuania’s unicameral parliament (Seimas) swore in a new government led by Gintautas Paluckas, vice-chair of the Social Democratic Party (LSDP). The coalition also includes the Union of Democrats “For Lithuania” (DSVL),…
Analyses | | Joanna Hyndle-Hussein

A change of government in Lithuania the Social Democrats assume power from the centre-right

On 27 October, in the second round of the Lithuanian parliamentary election, the opposition Social Democratic party (LSDP), led by Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, emerged victorious. The election was held in 63 single-member districts, with two…
Analyses | | Jacek Tarociński

NATO brigades in the Baltic states new chapters in the long march toward deployment

On 17 October, the defence ministers of Estonia and the United Kingdom signed a bilateral defence roadmap, outlining steps to further enhance the British military presence in Estonia. From July 2025, the UK will maintain a light brigade on…