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OSW Commentary |
| Filip Rudnik
The technological sanctions which the West has imposed on Russia’s LNG sector have drastically reduced the opportunities for the industry’s expansion, and made it less likely that Russia can increase its share on the global LNG market.…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Russian volunteer formations fighting on the side of Ukraine are continuing a psychological sabotage operation to confirm that resistance to the regime is growing in Russia. On 31 May, a spokesman for the Free Russia Legion reported that “…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
On the night of 28 May, the Russians launched a massive attack on Kyiv (the largest to date, according to the Ukrainian government’s assessment) using Shahed-136/131 kamikaze drones. According to the Ukrainian General Staff, only one of…
Analyses |
| Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski
Ukrainian forces failed to break through the Russian defences north and southwest of Bakhmut, and after 22 May, when the command of the Eastern grouping declared that some slight advances in the field had still been made, they went on the…
OSW Commentary |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
Preliminary estimates by Rosstat indicate that in Q1 2023 Russia’s GDP decreased by 1.9% y/y, although earlier in its report the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) estimated the decrease at 2.3%.
Analyses |
| Iwona Wiśniewska
Analysing Russia’s current economic situation is becoming increasingly difficult. Since the beginning of its invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin has restricted access to statistical data, including those concerning foreign trade. On 26 April…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
On 20 May, Yevgeny Prigozhin announced that the Wagner Group he owns had seized all of Bakhmut, and said his mercenaries would hand over their positions to regular Russian army troops by 25 May. The Russian defence ministry confirmed the…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
Ukrainian troops are continuing offensive operations west of Bakhmut. The fighting is mainly focused on the hills between Ivanivske and Klishchiivka; the Russians are slowly being pushed back toward the latter village, which they captured…
Analyses |
| Witold Rodkiewicz
On 16 May, the State Duma, acting under an expedited procedure, voted unanimously to terminate the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), as requested by President Vladimir Putin on 10 May. In doing so Andrey Kartapolov, the…
Analyses |
| Jakub Ber, Jacek Tarociński, Piotr Żochowski
On 13 May, a Su-34 fighter-bomber aircraft, a Su-35 multi-role fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters (probably modified for radio-electronic warfare) were shot down near the towns of Klintsy and Starodub in the Bryansk oblast of the Russian…