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Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki
On 13 October, the media reported that US Secretary of State Antony Blinken had informed members of the House of Representatives earlier this month that an Azerbaijani attack on southern Armenia was highly likely. A spokesperson for the…
Analyses | | Katarzyna Chawryło, Miłosz Bartosiewicz
Azerbaijan’s military operation in Nagorno-Karabakh (19–20 September), which forced the unrecognised republic to announce that it would dissolve itself on 1 January 2024, was accompanied by an escalation of the already tense relations…
Analyses | | Lidia Gibadło, Marcin Popławski
The first leaders’ summit in the Central Asia-Federal Republic of Germany (C5+RFN) format took place in Berlin on 29 September. The five leaders of the region met with Chancellor Olaf Scholz and President Frank-Walter Steinmeier, both as a…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki
Just over 100,000 Armenians, almost the entire population of Nagorno-Karabakh, had left this territory by 2 October (the government in Yerevan had previously given the parastate’s population at around 120,000). On that day, the organised…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
Following a rapid military operation on 19–20 September, Azerbaijan smashed the forces of the internationally unrecognised Armenian Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh. This led to the de facto dismantling of the parastate’s structures, which its…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota
At noon on 19 September, Azerbaijan launched a ‘local anti-terrorist operation’ against the unrecognised Nagorno-Karabakh Republic; this took the form of massive air and artillery attacks on military installations in the para-state,…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki
In recent days Armenia has demonstratively distanced itself from Russia and its alliance with it, through a number of gestures and statements from Prime Minister Nikola Pashinyan, and signalled its desire for rapprochement with the West.…
OSW Commentary | | Wojciech Górecki
In recent weeks, the Azerbaijani blockade of the Lachin corridor connecting the Armenian-controlled portion of Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia, which has been in place since mid-December 2022, has intensified, and its consequences are…
Analyses | | Marcin Popławski
On 12 August, Turkmenistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs published a statement on their country’s gas cooperation between the Russian Federation, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. In this document, the vice-president of the state-owned oil and…
OSW Commentary | | Marcin Popławski
Together with a domestic crisis at the beginning of 2022, followed by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Kazakhstan entered a period of fundamental challenges and re-evaluations. It took President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev 14 months to stabilise…