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Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota, Andrzej Kohut
On 7 April, a ceasefire between the US and Israel on one side and Iran on the other entered into force; on 5 May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the end of Operation Epic Fury. Although full-scale hostilities have ceased,…
OSW Commentary | | Iwona Wiśniewska
Preliminary estimates indicate that in the first quarter of 2026, Russia recorded a decline in GDP for the first time in three years. This points to a deterioration in the negative economic trends observed since the end of 2024. The…
OSW Commentary | | Kamil Frymark, Lidia Gibadło
One year after the CDU/CSU–SPD coalition took office, the continuation of civilian and military support for Kyiv remains one of the principal directions of German foreign policy.
Analyses | | Marcin Jędrysiak
On 11 May, the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) charged former head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak with money laundering. Investigators allege that 460 million hryvnias (almost €9 million) were used to finance…
OSW Commentary | | Sławomir Matuszak
Even before Russia’s full-scale invasion, the Ukrainian labour market lacked transparency due to the enormous shadow economy, involving as many as 3 million people and generating more than 30% of the country’s GDP. The war has acted as a…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński
Analyses | | Jan Nowinowski
On 8 May, the government of Rumen Radev, the country’s former president and leader of the conservative-social Progressive Bulgaria (PB), survived a confidence vote in the Bulgarian parliament.
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz
Since mid-April 2026, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked Russian energy infrastructure facilities in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, on at least four occasions: 16, 20 and 28 April, and 1 May. These drone strikes triggered prolonged fires…
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota
Although the war in the Persian Gulf has now entered its third month, EU member states have so far mainly experienced the price related-effects of the deepening energy crisis. At the same time, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki
On 4–5 May, the first-ever EU–Armenia summit was held in Yerevan, preceded by the eighth summit of the European Political Community (EPC). The parties adopted a joint declaration confirming their intention to further strengthen relations…