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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

Mutual escalation of air strikes Day 1546 of the war

Analyses | | Kamil Całus

Balancing and appeasing Bucharests foreign policy amid transatlantic disputes

Donald Trump’s second term and the growing dispute between the United States and the core EU powers, particularly Germany and France, have placed Romania in an increasingly difficult position. Since 1989, Bucharest has based its foreign…
Analyses | | Krzysztof Strachota, Andrzej Kohut

Stalemate the fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran

On 7 April, a ceasefire between the US and Israel on one side and Iran on the other entered into force; on 5 May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the end of Operation Epic Fury. Although full-scale hostilities have ceased,…
Analyses | | Marcin Jędrysiak

Ukraine corruption scandal involving senior government officials continues

On 11 May, the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) charged former head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak with money laundering. Investigators allege that 460 million hryvnias (almost €9 million) were used to finance…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

A mutual ceasefire on Victory Day Day 1539 of the war

Analyses | | Jan Nowinowski

Radevs government in Bulgaria status quo despite hopes for change

On 8 May, the government of Rumen Radev, the country’s former president and leader of the conservative-social Progressive Bulgaria (PB), survived a confidence vote in the Bulgarian parliament.
Analyses | | Filip Rudnik, Miłosz Bartosiewicz

Ukrainian attacks on Tuapse a threat to Russias fuel sector and the environment

Since mid-April 2026, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked Russian energy infrastructure facilities in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, on at least four occasions: 16, 20 and 28 April, and 1 May. These drone strikes triggered prolonged fires…
Analyses | | Wojciech Górecki

EU–Armenia summit more Europe in the Caucasus

On 4–5 May, the first-ever EU–Armenia summit was held in Yerevan, preceded by the eighth summit of the European Political Community (EPC). The parties adopted a joint declaration confirming their intention to further strengthen relations…
Analyses | | Adam Michalski

The East–West transport axis between Georgias dominance and Armenias ambitions

Amid the war in Ukraine and instability in the Middle East, the South Caucasus is gaining importance as a transit region linking Europe and Asia. This is particularly true of Georgia, which serves as the central hub of the Middle Corridor…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jacek Tarociński

Ukrainian attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure Day 1532 of the war