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Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jadwiga Rogoża
Russian forces continue to advance southwest of Lysychansk (in the Vovchoyarivka–Verkhn’okam’yanka area), while they have been halted on the western side of the ‘road of life’ (near the village of Spirne). Fighting is ongoing on the…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Krzysztof Nieczypor
During the night, Ukrainian forces began withdrawing from Sievierodonetsk and crossed the Donets River under fire to Lysychansk (the bridges connecting the two cities were destroyed, and there is no possibility of retreat in the other…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Sławomir Matuszak
Fighting continues for the Azot plant, the last point of Ukrainian resistance in Sievierodonetsk. The defenders are repelling Russian attacks on the southern outskirts of the city (Syrotyne), on both sides of the road connecting Hirske…
Analyses | | Szymon Kardaś
In May, the Russian Ministry of Economic Development published a new, updated forecast for the production and export of Russian energy resources. It shows that LNG supplies to third countries will be much lower than previously assumed over…
Analyses | | Iwona Wiśniewska
The Russian Grain Union (RGU) reported that, from the start of the current agricultural season (1 July 2021) to mid-May, Russia exported 33.85 million tonnes of wheat, which is about 10.4% less than a year ago. Overall, Russian grain…
Analyses | | Andrzej Wilk, Piotr Żochowski, Jadwiga Rogoża
The Ukrainian side provides conflicting information on the situation in Sievierodonetsk. According to official data, a counter-attack was launched over the weekend, as a result of which Russian forces were pushed out of some areas and…
OSW Commentary | | Marek Menkiszak
Although 100 days have passed since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Moscow has not achieved even the hypothetical minimum objective of the operation: the capture of the entire Donbas. The fierce Ukrainian resistance and…
OSW Commentary | | Andrzej Wilk
One hundred days of Russian aggression against Ukraine has still not answered the basic question: who will win? The first phase of the clash – a manoeuvre warfare until the end of March, in which the aggressor had broadly defined…
OSW Commentary | | Agata Łoskot-Strachota
The REPowerEU proposals announced on 18 May confirm the EU’s desire to end its dependence on Russian energy. Nonetheless, it illustrates the problems associated with the process of withdrawing from Russian gas, and above all with the rapid…
Analyses | | Szymon Kardaś, Iwona Wiśniewska
At night on 30 May, the European Council managed to reach an agreement on the sixth package of sanctions against Russia. Although the details of the arrangements are yet to be made public, media reports show that the leaders of the EU…