Publications

It is unlikely that the interim government in its current form will bring the country out of the crisis; indeed the scale and dynamic of the internal problems admit the possibility that Kyrgyzstan will turn into a failed state. The ongoing crisis poses a serious threat to the whole region’s stability.
Analyses
2010-05-26
Marek Matusiak

Moscow’s actions during the Iran crisis are a sign of its efforts to provide political support to Barack Obama’s administration. Moscow recognises that Obama’s policy can bring it specific benefits, and so it is endeavouring to ensure the policy’s continuation. in expectation of further political and economic gains.

Analyses
2010-05-26
Marcin Kaczmarski

On 10 May the Federal Statistical Office published data on German exports in March 2010. Due to a fall in the euro exchange rate and the stabilisation of the economic situation on emerging markets, the value of German exports increased by as much as 23.3% in comparison with March 2009 and exceeded the value from the year before the crisis – 2008.
Analyses
2010-05-19

On 12 May the Slovak Statistical Office announced that in the first quarter of 2010 the Slovak GDP has increased by 4.5% year on year, which probably constitutes the best result in the EU (Poland has not yet revealed its quarterly statistics). The data shows that after the deep recession of 2009 (a decrease in GDP of 4.7%) Slovakia has entered a period of a high economic growth rate. This is confirmed by the EC’s forecasts for April, according to which Slovakia will be the most dynamically developing EU country in 2010 (an expected growth of 2.7% of GDP).

 

Analyses
2010-05-19

On 15 May in Rostock the Left Party held a congress during which the new party authorities were elected. The change in the leadership of the party was meant to signal the consolidation of the party and emphasised its ability to enter into coalition with other parties. Once again the party did not manage to adopt a programme, which has a negative impact on the party's image and limits its capacity to form coalitions.

Analyses
2010-05-19

The European Commission (EC) in its Convergence Report, published on 12 May, put forward a motion about Estonia joining the euro zone in 2011. The final decision in this issue will be taken by the finance ministers of the EU countries at the beginning of July this year but it seems that the switch from the Estonian kroon to the euro from 1 January 2011 is already sealed. The introduction of the euro will be a great success of the centre-right government of Andrus Ansip and may contribute to the victory of the ruling parties in the parliamentary election planned for March 2011.

Analyses
2010-05-19

On 4 May the administrative court of Baden-Wurttemberg issued a verdict that the fact of belonging to the Catholic Church in Germany is linked with paying a church fee. The provision makes it impossible to stop paying the fee prior to leaving the Church. A retired professor of canonical law from Freiburg, Hartmut Zapp, attempted to question the provision. However, the administrative court of Baden-Wurttemberg, favourable to the position of the Church, rejected the lawyer's arguments.
Analyses
2010-05-19

Street protests are escalating against the government of Sali Berisha who, according to the opposition, rigged the results of the parliamentary election in June 2009. In Tirana, on 14 May another demonstration of the opposition Social Democratic Party (PS) was held. Approximately 10,000 people took part in it. Demonstrations were also organised in other towns in the country. A growing political crisis may affect the assessment of Albania's motion for EU membership.
Analyses
2010-05-19

On 17 May, the Turkish prime minister Recep Erdogan paid a visit to Baku, where he met President Ilham Aliev. The visit’s main aim was to build up his country’s strategic partnership with Azerbaijan, which has been undermined by the Turkish/Armenian rapprochement which was forced through over the last year by Ankara.
Analyses
2010-05-19

On 14 May a mass protest, in which between 1500 and 3000 people took part, took place in Mezhdurechensk (Kemerovo oblast), after the disaster in the Raspadskaya mine in which 66 miners and rescue workers died (a further 24 are as yet unaccounted for). On that same day, clashes with the police took place, and a group of demonstrators who blocked the railway lines was arrested. Despite the district authorities’ declaration of their willingness to make concessions, an escalation of the protest was announced; this proves that the authorities’ reaction was insufficient, and the situation in the mines may be a source of social protests.
Analyses
2010-05-19

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