Publications

In the early hours of 21 July, an attack took place on the Baksan hydroelectric power plant in the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic, in the Russian North Caucasus. As a result of the explosion, two of the three generators were damaged. The attackers, who killed two members of the security staff and injured two other people, succeeded in getting away. They are most likely to have been Islamist fighters under the command of Dokku Umarov. It must be expected that similar attacks will take place. As a consequence, Kabardino-Balkaria may join the least stable regions of the North Caucasus, together with Ingushetia, Dagestan and Chechnya.
Analyses
2010-07-21
Russia and Bulgaria have drawn the framework for agreements regarding South Stream and new gas contracts, but the negotiation process is still far from over.
Analyses
2010-07-21
Tomasz Dąborowski
Ewa Paszyc
Russia and Germany’s great expectations of the Modernisation Partnership project are being restrained by systematic limitations in both countries.
Analyses
2010-07-21
Justyna Gotkowska
The Slovakian government has accepted the establishment of the European Financial Stability Facility but refused to contribute to the loan for Greec.
Analyses
2010-07-21
Jakub Groszkowski
Ukraine is complying with EU directives in its new law concerning the gas market, but only putting them into practice will show if it is ready for the solutions proposed by EU.
Analyses
2010-07-21
Anna Górska
On 1 July Bulgarian Prime Minister Boiko Borisov announced that he would make known to the general prosecutor’s office the content of the gas contract signed in December 2006 between Bulgargaz and the Russian Gazprom. This decision, while being an element of the fight between the ruling camp and the opposition, is also part of the prolonged negotiations about new gas contracts and the joint energy project with Russia. 
Analyses
2010-07-07
The centre-right coalition has a majority of 118 votes in the 200-person Chamber of Deputies and may count on the favour of President Vaclav Klaus. However, the government’s stability is going to be weakened by the ambitions of the leaders of the coalition parties competing for the leadership on the right of Czech political scene.
Analyses
2010-07-07
Jakub Groszkowski
Due to competition among particular coalition parties and no consent on the cabinet’s priorities, cooperation between the Christian Democrats and the liberals until the end of their term will be limited to the most urgent projects. However, coalition breakdown is not to be expected now, though it had been forecast by German media.
Analyses
2010-07-07
Marta Zawilska-Florczuk
The arrests by the FBI on 26-28 June of 10 persons suspected of working for the Russian Federation’s intelligence services, and the confirmation of that fact immediately after the end of President Dmitri Medvedev’s visit to the USA, has not as yet brought any negative consequences to political relations between Washington and Moscow. Both sides in their official reactions confirmed their ongoing desire to continue bilateral cooperation, and played down the significance of the FBI’s operation, despite the media’s growing interest in the case. This indicates that both sides are interested in maintaining an image of improving bilateral relations as well as the effectiveness of the ‘reset’ policy.
Analyses
2010-07-07
The nature of the CU and the manner of its introduction show that for Russia, the move is above all of political significance, and serves to strength Moscow’s influence in the region.
Analyses
2010-07-07
Iwona Wiśniewska

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