Publications

On 24 July, President Dmitri Medvedev signed an amendment to the law on the Russian diaspora, which illustrates a change in the government’s approach to the question of its ethnic fellows. In the face of the failure of the repatriation programme up until now, which was intended to bring Russians back to the ‘mother country’ from the CIS, the government’s new priority is to bring educated Russians into the country and involve them in modernising processes.
Analyses
2010-08-04
The ICJ did not express an opinion on whether Kosovo’s independence complied with international law and whether Kosovo satisfied the legal criteria of statehood and had had the right to secede. Thus it avoided resolving the dilemma of conflict between the principle of a state’s territorial integrity and the right of nations to self-determination.
Analyses
2010-08-04
Marta Szpala
It must be expected that together with the improvement in the economic situation, Kazakhstan’s government will intensify its policy of state protectionism towards the energy sector. Despite this, Kazakhstan is not threatened by any outflow of large foreign investments, because of the relatively profitable investment climate and the great potential for the extraction of oil and gas to rise.
Analyses
2010-08-04
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz
Patriarch Kirill’s third visit to Kiev this year is part of a Russian strategy to regain influence in Ukraine. The Ukrainian government’s possible unilateral support for the Patriarch of Moscow would threaten to disturb the relative religious peace in Ukraine.
Analyses
2010-08-04
Paweł Wołowski
Russia was the first state in the world to de facto recognise the regime change in Kyrgyzstan that took place on 7 April 2010. This recognition, along with a previous campaign by the Russian media against the then President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, has given rise to suspicion that the events of April were provoked by Russia. However, it seems no more than reasonable to say that Russia provided some inspiration and lobbying in that direction. Russia offered support to the new Kyrgyz government almost immediately, albeit conditionally. Russia's relations with Roza Otunbayeva's government have been changing in nature; they are currently much cooler than they had been immediately after the coup.
OSW Commentary
2010-07-27
Wojciech Górecki
The board of the foundation Flight, Expulsion, Reconciliation was appointed on 8 July. The Bundestag approved its composition by the votes of the Christian Democrats and Liberals. For the government coalition politicians this means success, which in their opinion will enable the launch of essential work on the expulsions museum project. However, some candidates’ statements regarding, for example, the causes of the outbreak of World War II, have raised strong controversy among representatives of the opposition.
Analyses
2010-07-21
The International Monetary Fund and the European Union on 17 July suspended talks on the implementation of the savings programme with the Hungarian government. The financial institutions are demanding Hungary impose greater budget discipline and perform a more intensive cost cutting process. Hungary will be unable to use the last tranche of the loan and will seek the opening of a flexible credit line for 2011-2012 until an agreement is reached. Although withholding financial assistance does not pose a risk to the stability of Hungary’s budget, the dispute with the IMF is still having a detrimental effect on the opinion of the Hungarian economy among investors and markets and is causing depreciation of the forint.
Analyses
2010-07-21
On 11 July, the German press announced that Gazprom had invited the German company RWE, a strategic shareholder of the EU project Nabucco, to join the South Stream project. The proposal was probably aimed at discrediting Nabucco participants to potential gas suppliers and investors at a moment which is crucial for the enterprise.
Analyses
2010-07-21
On 14 July in Kyrgyzstan, the government created after the overthrow of President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, which was composed of leaders of the opposition, was replaced by a government of technocrats, which is intended to run the country until the parliamentary elections planned for October. It must be expected that the new government, which is made up of people with weak political positions, will be even weaker than the previous one, and real powers of government will be very limited. In this context, their most difficult task is to stabilise the still very tense situation in the south of the country.
Analyses
2010-07-21
On 16-17 July, at an informal meeting (closed to the press) of the OSCE’s foreign ministers in Almaty, it was agreed that the first in 11 years summit of the heads of states of the OSCE members will take place in Kazakhstan later this year. The agreement to organise the summit is the main result of this meeting, and a success for Kazakhstan.
Analyses
2010-07-21

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