The Kremlin has chosen neither to restrict political contacts, nor to reduce security cooperation, nor to take openly retaliatory steps.
The new government may be unstable, given the different priorities each coalition partner has and the ambitions of the leaders.
The dramatically deteriorating economic situation in Azerbaijan has caused a wave of spontaneous protests which have been ongoing since 12 January.
We may assume that the uptick in the dynamics of the talks is due to new Russian proposals, hitherto undiscussed in public.
With the declarations made and measures taken by Ankara, it may be expected that police and military operations will be intensified.
The sense of insecurity has translated into an increase in the popularity of anti-immigrant movements and parties.