Publications

Turkmenistan’s decision to start work on the TAPI is a product of its failure to diversify its natural gas exports.

Analyses
2015-12-16
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz

The launch of gas production in Tajikistan (possibly at a level of several billion m3 annually) will be of fundamental significance for the country and will change the balance of power which has thus far been in place in Central Asia. Uzbekistan in particular stands to suffer.

Analyses
2013-06-26
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz

During a visit by the Chinese Deputy Prime Minister Hui Liangyu on 12 September, the President of Uzbekistan Islam Karimov revealed the start in August of regular gas exports to China. This process was preceded by the signing of an Uzbek-Chinese framework contract to export 10 bcm of gas per annum in June 2010.

Analyses
2012-09-19
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz
Germany and Kazakhstan entered into a partnership agreement “in the area of raw materials, industry and technology” on 8 February in Berlin. The agreement will enable German firms to explore and produce inter alia rare earth metals in Kazakhstan. In exchange, Germany is to support the construction of modern industry and the transfer of new technologies to Kazakhstan.
Analyses
2012-02-15
Artur Ciechanowicz
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz
On 15 December, the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), which is the owner and the operator of the Tengiz–Novorossiysk oil pipeline, made the final decision to increase the pipeline’s flow capacity from the present level of 28 million tonnes of oil annually to 67 million tonnes in 2015. The consortium’s decision means that the pattern of oil export from Kazakhstan will be preserved, and the key roles will still be played by Russia as the transit country and Europe as the outlet.
Analyses
2010-12-29
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz
On 2 November in Ashgabat, the deputy prime minister of Russia Viktor Zubkov participated in the fifth session of the Turkmen/Russian economic committee, and met President Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov. The only result of the visit was the signature of a contract on a ferry link between Turkmenistan and Russia. The parties did not reach an agreement on the size of gas deliveries for next year, limiting themselves to a statement that “they will work within the frameworks of already agreed contracts”. This means an extension of the impasse in their mutual relations.
Analyses
2010-11-04
During President Nursultan Nazarbayev’s visit to Kyiv on 14-15 September, agreement was reached concerning the resumption of Kazakh oil transit through Ukrainian territory. The resumption of transit and supplies will have great significance for Ukraine whose pipeline system is currently only 25% utilised and whose refineries are not exploiting their production capacity due to a lack of fuel.
Analyses
2010-09-22
On 12 August BP-Azerbaijan, the operator of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, announced that since July of this year a part of the oil flowing through its pipeline originates in Turkmenistan. This means that the BTC route has replaced the previous export route for Turkmen gas through Iran to a considerable extent. The change of transmission route is being blamed on worsening financial conditions for transport via Iran, in part as a result of an intensification of sanctions against Iran by the UN in June of this year.
Analyses
2010-08-18
It must be expected that together with the improvement in the economic situation, Kazakhstan’s government will intensify its policy of state protectionism towards the energy sector. Despite this, Kazakhstan is not threatened by any outflow of large foreign investments, because of the relatively profitable investment climate and the great potential for the extraction of oil and gas to rise.
Analyses
2010-08-04
Aleksandra Jarosiewicz
On 21 May, Turkmenistan’s president Gurbanguly Berdymuhammedov unexpectedly signed a decree stating that companies from Turkmenistan will build an internal East-West gas pipeline allowing the transfer of gas from the biggest deposits in Turkmenistan (Dowlatabad and Yolotan) to the Caspian coast. This decision means that Ashgabat is trying to expand its room for manoeuvre in taking decisions on the export of its raw material.
Analyses
2010-05-26

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